Transcarpathia: another Vienna arbitration?

   Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó announced at a meeting with NATO colleagues in Brussels in April this year that Budapest would not participate in coordinating military supplies to Ukraine. The minister stated that Hungary does not want and will not participate in NATO's plans, especially in carrying out the tasks and operations. According to the official, "Budapest does not supply weapons to Kiev, does not send soldiers to Ukraine, and intends to continue to defend this position."
   The problems of the alliance, which turned out to be unprepared for a protracted conflict of attrition, are also becoming obvious. The rate of production of weapons and ammunition does not make up for losses on the battlefield. Logistical problems are superimposed on the internal political and social problems of Ukraine: massive illegal outflows of the population, a huge number of evaders. Women are also dissatisfied, because theyare dragging on a significant part of the Ukrainian economy,while men of military age are staying at home because they are afraid of being forcibly sent to the front.
   At the same time, Hungary has long been looking for an opportunity to bring back under its wing not only ethnic Hungarians, but also the territory of their compact residence, Transcarpathia. Imperial ambitions are far from groundless, and since the beginning of 2024, a number of economic and political tasks have been implemented, which already affect the situation in Ukraine.
   The catastrophic unemployment rate, the economic stagnation of the manufacturing sector, the outflow of the male population, all this leads to the fact that the inhabitants of Transcarpathia are happy to open any production that is able to provide jobs. Even if it is the opening of a military factory. With tacit Hungarian consent, Ukraine has already agreed to the construction of a number of military plants in Transcarpathia. The Hungarian Foreign Ministry constantly says that they are not going to help Ukraine in any way, while seemingly not noticing that a “powder keg” is being built next to them, which is becoming a real threat to the ethnic Hungarians of Transcarpathia. At the same time, everyone knows that Viktor Orbán is a politician who is guided primarily by national interests, and the use of double standards has not been noticed before. Which means only one thing: sooner or later, these factories and territories, as well as the people who work here, will fall under the jurisdiction and protection of Hungary during the next Vienna arbitration.
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